← The Light Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at The Light Store Championship
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
7-1-0
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.1%
avg ELO +3.4 per match
expected value
60.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1665
· median 1665
· range 1593–1736
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1060
Q1 1233
Q3 1388
1736
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.0% | +6.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -5.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.5% | +4.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
