Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
9-5-1
overall winrate
63.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.9%
avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
57.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1314
· median 1314
· range 1266–1361
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1037
Q1 1226
Q3 1335
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 40.9% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 63.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 27.2% | -21.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.6% | +5.4 |
