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Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2

at Atlas Gamers DTR Store Championship

decks
1 (5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 0-6-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.6% avg ELO -7.7 per match
expected value
33.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1131 · median 1131 · range 1131–1131 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1119 Q1 1397 Q3 1501 1539
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 61.1% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 40.8% -6.9
Wind Shadowstrike 22.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.8% -13.1
Fire Aggro 16.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.5% -4.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 11.1% 0
Fire Suzaku 11.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.8% -8.3
Fire Aetherwing 5.6% 0
Water Genbu 5.6% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/32460/archetypes/Fire Umbra Guardian