← Atlas Gamers DTR Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Atlas Gamers DTR Store Championship
decks
4
(22.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
23
10-10-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.6%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1488
· median 1508
· range 1396–1539
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1119
Q1 1397
Q3 1501
1539
75% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 61.1% | 12 | 4-5-3 | 45.8% | 46.9% | 43.4% | -2.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
