Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at DTR Win A Box Tpurnament
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 15.4% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 51.8% | +1.1 |
| Fire Rile | 11.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.1% | +0.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.2% | +0.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Exia | 3.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.2% | -1.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.5 |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 38 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 38 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shadeblood Coating | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Curved Dagger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shadow Resonance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winbless Lookout | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Orb of Choking Fumes | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dusksoul Stone | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cloaked Executioner | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Betraying Blade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Headhunter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bauble of Abundance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sirocco Operative | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Haunting Demise | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |