DTR Win A Box Tpurnament

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	6	23.1%	14-9-1	60.4%	51.0%	55.0%	50.6%	1265	—
2		Slimes	Tier 2	4	15.4%	6-9-4	42.1%	49.0%	44.7%	49.2%	1230	—
3		Fire Rile	Tier 1	3	11.5%	8-4-4	62.5%	51.9%	52.8%	50.6%	1339	↑ top
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	7.7%	2-10-0	16.7%	44.9%	38.7%	47.9%	1279	—
5		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	7.7%	5-7-2	42.9%	47.5%	46.4%	49.1%	1272	—
6		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	7.7%	5-2-1	68.8%	52.2%	50.4%	50.1%	1312	↑ top
7		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	7.7%	7-4-0	63.6%	51.8%	53.1%	50.6%	1146	↓ low
8		Fire Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.8%	2-4-0	33.3%	50.5%	50.0%	50.8%	1074	↓ low
9		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.8%	5-1-0	83.3%	54.0%	56.2%	51.3%	1369	↑ top
10		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	3.8%	1-3-3	35.7%	48.6%	50.7%	50.3%	1143	↓ low
11		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.8%	1-1-3	50.0%	50.4%	51.0%	50.3%	1222	—
12		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-3-1	50.0%	49.5%	47.7%	49.5%	1425	↑ top
13		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	51.6%	48.9%	50.4%	1058	↓ low
14		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	3.8%	0-3-0	0.0%	46.4%	40.0%	48.4%	1144	↓ low
15		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	49.5%	50.2%	49.5%	1379	↑ top
16		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	3.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	51.6%	48.9%	50.4%	1058	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 23.1%
• Slimes 4 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Rile 3 decks · 11.5%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 7.7%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Astra Ranger 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.8%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 3.8%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 3.8%