← JEUX KINGDOM DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at JEUX KINGDOM DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Horse and Taxes | 4 | 16.7% | 25 | 68.0% | 74.9% | 62.2% | 68.3% | 1329 | — |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 2 | 8.3% | 9 | 55.6% | 62.0% | 53.0% | 58.9% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 4 | 16.7% | 32 | 57.8% | 44.1% | 51.7% | 43.4% | 1395 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Rile | 17 | 70.8% | 61 | 52.5% | 50.9% | 51.1% | 49.8% | 1322 | — |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 46.6% | 50.7% | 48.9% | 1250 | — |
| 6 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 9 | 44.4% | 33.5% | 46.8% | 39.6% | 1519 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Suzaku | 6 | 25.0% | 35 | 45.7% | 50.7% | 46.6% | 49.6% | 1305 | — |
| 8 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 20.0% | 48.6% | 42.4% | 49.1% | 915 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 0.0% | 41.0% | 35.8% | 45.0% | 1284 | — |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 8.3% | 8 | 6.2% | 14.9% | 32.0% | 28.1% | 1304 | — |