Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at 卡卡貓桌遊店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.3%
avg ELO -4.8 per match
expected value
45.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1450
· median 1450
· range 1450–1450
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1026
Q1 1262
Q3 1438
1536
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 55.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 41.7% | -4.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.6 |
| Water Neos | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
