Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 卡卡貓桌遊店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
6-6-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.2%
avg ELO -2.7 per match
expected value
47.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1343
· median 1343
· range 1281–1406
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1026
Q1 1262
Q3 1438
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 55.6% | 5 | 1-2-2 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 40.8% | -5.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 16.7% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -1.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.6 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.4% | +3.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
