Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 卡卡貓桌遊店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
3-10-2
overall winrate
26.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.6%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
40.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1318
· median 1318
· range 1256–1380
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1026
Q1 1262
Q3 1438
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 55.6% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 46.2% | -2.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 45.1% | -3.6 |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.4% | -8.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
