Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	4	36.4%	11-10-0	52.4%	46.6%	51.6%	48.7%	1335	—
2		Fire Suited	Tier 1	2	18.2%	13-4-0	76.5%	66.1%	61.1%	58.1%	1453	↑ top
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	18.2%	3-7-0	30.0%	50.3%	42.8%	49.7%	1202	↓ low
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	9.1%	3-4-0	42.9%	45.1%	47.9%	47.7%	1357	—
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	9.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	46.1%	46.0%	47.0%	1317	—
6		Fire Exia	Tier 1	1	9.1%	6-2-0	75.0%	62.3%	59.2%	57.0%	1326	—
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	31.5%	41.3%	40.1%	1330	—
8		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	9.1%	4-3-0	57.1%	47.1%	49.1%	47.6%	1367	—
9		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	39.3%	42.9%	44.9%	1345	—
10		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	36.7%	40.0%	45.0%	1187	↓ low
11		Wind Ciel	Tier 2	1	9.1%	3-3-0	50.0%	57.8%	48.9%	52.4%	1499	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 4 decks · 36.4%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 18.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Ciel 1 deck · 9.1%