← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire ExiaTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-2-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.3%
avg ELO +5.9 per match
expected value
59.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1326
· median 1326
· range 1326–1326
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1306
Q3 1362
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +13.3 |
| Fire Suited | 18.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.9% | -6.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
