← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.1%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
46.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1317
· median 1317
· range 1317–1317
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1306
Q3 1362
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Fire Suited | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
