← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Wind CielTier 2
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.8%
avg ELO +4.1 per match
expected value
48.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1499
· median 1499
· range 1499–1499
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1306
Q3 1362
1548
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.2% | +4.0 |
| Fire Suited | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.4 |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.5 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
