Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at DTR-Store Championship
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
3-9-1
overall winrate
26.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.7%
avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
43.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1288
· median 1288
· range 1224–1352
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1187
Q1 1238
Q3 1380
1446
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 28.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Fire Suited | 14.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.0% | -0.8 |
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.7% | -1.0 |
| Water Fractal | 14.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.2% | -8.4 |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
