← KouritenSG Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at KouritenSG Store Championship
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
5-0-0
overall winrate
100.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.4%
avg ELO +7.7 per match
expected value
60.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1488
· median 1488
· range 1488–1488
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1139
Q3 1358
1633
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.1% | +3.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
