← KouritenSG Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at KouritenSG Store Championship
decks
2
(6.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-3-1
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.9%
avg ELO +5.0 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1158
· median 1158
· range 1156–1161
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1139
Q3 1358
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +2.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.2% | +5.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
