Distorted Reflections Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	7	53.8%	11-9-1	54.8%	53.5%	48.5%	48.9%	1337	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	23.1%	10-2-1	80.8%	64.8%	65.4%	61.1%	1379	↑ top
3		Fire Suited	Tier 2	2	15.4%	2-5-3	35.0%	42.5%	44.8%	47.4%	1385	↑ top
4		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-4-0	20.0%	25.4%	47.0%	41.9%	1394	↑ top
5		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	7.7%	3-4-0	42.9%	50.8%	45.8%	48.7%	1251	↓ low
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	7.7%	3-2-0	60.0%	61.9%	44.6%	48.4%	1354	—
7		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	7.7%	2-4-0	33.3%	51.2%	44.6%	50.0%	1241	↓ low
8		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	38.6%	48.2%	42.3%	1423	↑ top
9		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-2-0	0.0%	30.5%	40.0%	38.3%	1280	↓ low
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	7.7%	2-2-1	50.0%	57.5%	44.4%	49.0%	1319	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 7 decks · 53.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 23.1%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 15.4%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 7.7%