← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 23.1% | 13 | 80.8% | 64.8% | 65.4% | 61.1% | 1379 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Rile | 7 | 53.8% | 21 | 54.8% | 53.5% | 48.5% | 48.9% | 1337 | — |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 38.6% | 48.2% | 42.3% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 20.0% | 25.4% | 47.0% | 41.9% | 1394 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 7.7% | 7 | 42.9% | 50.8% | 45.8% | 48.7% | 1251 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Suited | 2 | 15.4% | 10 | 35.0% | 42.5% | 44.8% | 47.4% | 1385 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 60.0% | 61.9% | 44.6% | 48.4% | 1354 | — |
| 8 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 7.7% | 6 | 33.3% | 51.2% | 44.6% | 50.0% | 1241 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 50.0% | 57.5% | 44.4% | 49.0% | 1319 | — |
| 10 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 7.7% | 2 | 0.0% | 30.5% | 40.0% | 38.3% | 1280 | ↓ low |