EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印雄二店 Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 15.4% | 13 | 84.6% | 60.9% | 61.7% | 54.4% | 1341 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 7.7% | 7 | 71.4% | 67.0% | 61.0% | 62.1% | 1282 | — |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 60.0% | 54.3% | 54.0% | 52.9% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 7.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 55.3% | 52.6% | 55.2% | 1233 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 2 | 15.4% | 10 | 55.0% | 55.6% | 52.5% | 53.4% | 1307 | — |
| 6 | Fire Rile | 5 | 38.5% | 20 | 42.5% | 45.8% | 48.5% | 49.4% | 1259 | — |
| 7 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.7% | 47.3% | 47.4% | 1352 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.7% | 44.4% | 45.7% | 1174 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 15.4% | 9 | 22.2% | 36.8% | 40.6% | 43.1% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.7% | 6 | 0.0% | 23.3% | 35.3% | 36.5% | 1275 | — |