← 貓腳印-新莊店 0830 DTR Store Championship
Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at 貓腳印-新莊店 0830 DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
4-6-2
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.4%
avg ELO -2.8 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1403
· median 1403
· range 1386–1419
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1311
Q3 1457
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -0.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
| Slimes | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
