← 貓腳印-新莊店 0830 DTR Store Championship
Horse and TaxesTier 1
at 貓腳印-新莊店 0830 DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-1-4
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
54.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1502
· median 1502
· range 1502–1502
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1311
Q3 1457
1591
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.8% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -3.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.6% | +9.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Slimes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
