← 貓腳印-新莊店 0830 DTR Store Championship
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 貓腳印-新莊店 0830 DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
6-7-1
overall winrate
46.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.2%
avg ELO +5.4 per match
expected value
47.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1218
· median 1218
· range 1121–1315
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1311
Q3 1457
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 51.4% | +1.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 58.9% | +8.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 64.0% | +13.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.8% | -9.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.7 |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
