← SGCCC Distorted Reflections season Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at SGCCC Distorted Reflections season Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 8 | 87.5% | 58.3% | 59.8% | 53.8% | 1384 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 58.3% | 45.0% | 56.2% | 51.1% | 1296 | — |
| 3 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 11.8% | 11 | 54.5% | 67.4% | 53.7% | 58.2% | 1141 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.9% | 53.1% | 51.3% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 37.5% | 44.1% | 51.4% | 50.9% | 1130 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 3 | 17.6% | 15 | 46.7% | 50.4% | 50.1% | 50.7% | 1292 | — |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 11.8% | 9 | 50.0% | 45.3% | 50.0% | 47.6% | 1226 | — |
| 8 | Water Neos | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 53.8% | 48.3% | 50.0% | 1240 | — |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.8% | 46.7% | 46.5% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.8% | 46.7% | 46.5% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.9% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.1% | 44.0% | 44.3% | 1317 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Genbu | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 37.5% | 44.8% | 43.0% | 43.9% | 1293 | — |
| 13 | Slimes | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 38.4% | 41.1% | 42.5% | 1273 | — |