← CGC Grand Archive TCG Store Championship Event
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CGC Grand Archive TCG Store Championship Event.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 2 | 7.7% | 22 | 68.2% | 74.7% | 56.1% | 61.4% | 1240 | — |
| 2 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 3.8% | 12 | 62.5% | 47.9% | 54.0% | 48.5% | 1407 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 15.4% | 31 | 54.8% | 54.4% | 53.7% | 53.3% | 1306 | — |
| 4 | Fire Rile | 11 | 42.3% | 62 | 51.6% | 47.7% | 51.8% | 49.9% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Suzaku | 3 | 11.5% | 23 | 50.0% | 50.7% | 51.5% | 52.6% | 1248 | — |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 3.8% | 8 | 50.0% | 59.7% | 51.3% | 56.2% | 1212 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 11.5% | 24 | 52.1% | 56.3% | 51.2% | 53.2% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 2 | 7.7% | 13 | 50.0% | 36.7% | 50.4% | 45.8% | 1457 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.8% | 9 | 50.0% | 51.6% | 49.6% | 50.9% | 1228 | — |
| 10 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 7.7% | 14 | 39.3% | 39.5% | 44.9% | 44.2% | 1304 | — |
| 11 | Wind Allies | 1 | 3.8% | 7 | 28.6% | 45.4% | 43.1% | 47.7% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 3.8% | 8 | 37.5% | 49.9% | 42.5% | 46.8% | 1131 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Aggro | 4 | 15.4% | 25 | 40.0% | 36.3% | 41.8% | 41.3% | 1263 | — |
| 14 | Wind Diana | 1 | 3.8% | 6 | 16.7% | 42.3% | 41.5% | 47.1% | 1033 | ↓ low |