Fire AggroTier 1
at DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
7-2-0
overall winrate
77.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.1%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
62.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1457
· median 1457
· range 1457–1457
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1137
Q3 1322
1495
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 30.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 62.9% | +9.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.2% | -25.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
