← Wolfspider Games & Entertainment DTR Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Wolfspider Games & Entertainment DTR Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 100.0% | 76.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | 1222 | — |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 10.5% | 10 | 80.0% | 70.2% | 55.2% | 55.4% | 1241 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.6% | 53.3% | 51.9% | 1301 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Slimes | 2 | 10.5% | 8 | 62.5% | 57.7% | 51.9% | 51.4% | 1234 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 52.8% | 50.0% | 49.1% | 1274 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Umbra Guardian | 2 | 10.5% | 7 | 50.0% | 44.2% | 50.0% | 48.2% | 1264 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.3% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1229 | — |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 50.0% | 50.4% | 1239 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 48.6% | 49.0% | 1188 | — |
| 10 | Fire Arisanna | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 46.8% | 46.7% | 47.7% | 1141 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Exia | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 37.5% | 44.5% | 46.0% | 46.5% | 1148 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Suited | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 41.8% | 46.0% | 47.9% | 1084 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 34.7% | 43.3% | 43.8% | 1156 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 34.9% | 41.7% | 40.3% | 1229 | — |
| 15 | Water Allies | 1 | 5.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 40.6% | 41.1% | 44.5% | 1081 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Neos | 1 | 5.3% | 4 | 0.0% | 29.8% | 40.0% | 41.9% | 1107 | ↓ low |