← Hobby Lords Setia Alam DTR Store Championship
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Hobby Lords Setia Alam DTR Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 11.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 28.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Water Genbu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 12 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 12 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |