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Fire Crux MageTier 2

at Sentinel Games DTR Store Championship

decks
3 (7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12 4-6-2
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.1% avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
48.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1311 · median 1352 · range 1209–1372 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1149 Q1 1243 Q3 1410 1577
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 14.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.7% -14.9
Fire Suzaku 11.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.9% +11.0
Water Allies 9.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.6% +0.5
Fire Aggro 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.2% -4.5
Fire Umbra Guardian 7.1% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 55.7% +5.5
Wind Seiryuu 7.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.2% -12.5
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.8% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.8% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.3% +1.0
Water Genbu 4.8% 0
Wind Allies 4.8% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 4.8% 0
Fire Suited 2.4% 0
Horse and Taxes 2.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.5% -8.8
Water Aetherwing 2.4% 0
Water Astra Ranger 2.4% 0
Water Neos Tonoris 2.4% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.4% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/33797/archetypes/Fire Crux Mage