← Sentinel Games DTR Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 2
at Sentinel Games DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.1%
avg ELO -5.7 per match
expected value
44.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1477
· median 1477
· range 1415–1539
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1149
Q1 1243
Q3 1410
1577
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 11.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
