← EVO Store Championship(need entry on tonamel first)
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at EVO Store Championship(need entry on tonamel first)
decks
4
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22
11-9-2
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.8%
avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1216
· median 1240
· range 1092–1292
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1027
Q1 1193
Q3 1381
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 9.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 51.2% | +0.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.3% | +11.8 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.3% | +5.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.4% | -6.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.5% | +21.6 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Water Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
