Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/11/2025

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Rile	Tier 1	17	39.5%	34-17-4	65.5%	51.0%	54.7%	50.3%	1368	↑ top
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	7.0%	9-2-0	81.8%	51.4%	56.8%	50.3%	1447	↑ top
3		Fire Suited	Tier 2	3	7.0%	4-5-0	44.4%	49.4%	48.6%	49.8%	1277	—
4		Horse and Taxes	Tier 1	3	7.0%	10-4-0	71.4%	51.6%	58.1%	50.8%	1525	↑ top
5		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	3	7.0%	6-8-0	42.9%	48.8%	39.2%	48.7%	1350	—
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	4.7%	5-4-0	55.6%	51.8%	50.8%	50.8%	1206	↓ low
7		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	4.7%	3-4-3	45.0%	49.7%	44.8%	49.6%	1276	—
8		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	2	4.7%	6-4-0	60.0%	51.7%	50.7%	50.7%	1219	↓ low
9		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	4.7%	4-4-2	50.0%	49.2%	49.5%	49.7%	1347	—
10		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	4.7%	5-5-0	50.0%	49.2%	44.8%	49.2%	1380	↑ top
11		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	2	4.7%	1-3-1	30.0%	50.0%	42.0%	50.0%	1162	↓ low
12		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	2	4.7%	3-7-0	30.0%	48.4%	43.9%	49.2%	1137	↓ low
13		Water Tera Cleric	Tier 1	2	4.7%	5-4-3	54.2%	50.0%	50.7%	49.9%	1219	↓ low
14		Fire Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	49.5%	40.0%	49.7%	1083	↓ low
15		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-2-1	64.3%	52.0%	51.5%	50.8%	1223	↓ low
16		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-1-0	50.0%	49.3%	46.7%	49.3%	1281	—
17		Water Exia Jin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-1-0	50.0%	50.4%	45.0%	49.9%	1222	↓ low
18		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	47.8%	35.8%	48.5%	1396	↑ top
19		Water Neos	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-5-0	16.7%	48.6%	37.2%	49.2%	1278	—
20		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-0-3	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	1200	↓ low
21		Water Zander	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	48.8%	40.0%	49.5%	1215	↓ low
22		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.8%	42.7%	49.6%	1499	↑ top
23		Wind Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-2-1	16.7%	48.3%	40.9%	48.9%	1444	↑ top
24		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-1-0	0.0%	49.2%	40.0%	49.2%	1171	↓ low
25		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-5-0	16.7%	48.2%	37.9%	48.9%	1418	↑ top
26		Wind Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	49.3%	40.0%	50.0%	1164	↓ low
27		Wind Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	48.8%	40.8%	49.4%	1250	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Rile 17 decks · 39.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 7.0%
• Fire Suited 3 decks · 7.0%
• Horse and Taxes 3 decks · 7.0%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 7.0%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 4.7%
• Water Astra Ranger 2 decks · 4.7%
• Water Penguin Mill 2 decks · 4.7%
• Water Tera Cleric 2 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Exia Jin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Zander 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Ciel 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.3%