← Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/11/2025
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/11/2025.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Horse and Taxes | 3 | 7.0% | 14 | 71.4% | 51.6% | 58.1% | 50.8% | 1525 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 3 | 7.0% | 11 | 81.8% | 51.4% | 56.8% | 50.3% | 1447 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Rile | 17 | 39.5% | 55 | 65.5% | 51.0% | 54.7% | 50.3% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 2.3% | 7 | 64.3% | 52.0% | 51.5% | 50.8% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 4.7% | 9 | 55.6% | 51.8% | 50.8% | 50.8% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Tera Cleric | 2 | 4.7% | 12 | 54.2% | 50.0% | 50.7% | 49.9% | 1219 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 4.7% | 10 | 60.0% | 51.7% | 50.7% | 50.7% | 1219 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Water Umbra Guardian | 1 | 2.3% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1200 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Oblation | 2 | 4.7% | 10 | 50.0% | 49.2% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1347 | — |
| 10 | Fire Suited | 3 | 7.0% | 9 | 44.4% | 49.4% | 48.6% | 49.8% | 1277 | — |
| 11 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 2.3% | 2 | 50.0% | 49.3% | 46.7% | 49.3% | 1281 | — |
| 12 | Water Exia Jin | 1 | 2.3% | 2 | 50.0% | 50.4% | 45.0% | 49.9% | 1222 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Exia | 2 | 4.7% | 10 | 45.0% | 49.7% | 44.8% | 49.6% | 1276 | — |
| 14 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 4.7% | 10 | 50.0% | 49.2% | 44.8% | 49.2% | 1380 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Water Penguin Mill | 2 | 4.7% | 10 | 30.0% | 48.4% | 43.9% | 49.2% | 1137 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Wind Allies | 1 | 2.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.8% | 42.7% | 49.6% | 1499 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 4.7% | 5 | 30.0% | 50.0% | 42.0% | 50.0% | 1162 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Ciel | 1 | 2.3% | 3 | 16.7% | 48.3% | 40.9% | 48.9% | 1444 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Wind Umbra Guardian | 1 | 2.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 48.8% | 40.8% | 49.4% | 1250 | — |
| 20 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 2.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.5% | 40.0% | 49.7% | 1083 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Water Zander | 1 | 2.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.8% | 40.0% | 49.5% | 1215 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 49.2% | 40.0% | 49.2% | 1171 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Wind Umbra Ciel | 1 | 2.3% | 3 | 0.0% | 49.3% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 1164 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Water Aetherwing | 3 | 7.0% | 14 | 42.9% | 48.8% | 39.2% | 48.7% | 1350 | — |
| 25 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 2.3% | 6 | 16.7% | 48.2% | 37.9% | 48.9% | 1418 | ↑ top |
| 26 | Water Neos | 1 | 2.3% | 6 | 16.7% | 48.6% | 37.2% | 49.2% | 1278 | — |
| 27 | Water Fractal | 1 | 2.3% | 5 | 20.0% | 47.8% | 35.8% | 48.5% | 1396 | ↑ top |