← Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/25/2025
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Weekly 9/25/2025.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 87.5% | 51.4% | 59.2% | 50.8% | 1328 | — |
| 2 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.3% | 58.0% | 50.5% | 1444 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 4.9% | 8 | 75.0% | 51.8% | 57.5% | 50.7% | 1407 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 4.9% | 6 | 75.0% | 50.1% | 55.4% | 50.1% | 1413 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Tera Mage | 2 | 4.9% | 7 | 57.1% | 50.1% | 52.5% | 50.3% | 1351 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 6 | 14.6% | 18 | 52.8% | 49.8% | 52.0% | 50.1% | 1319 | — |
| 7 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 75.0% | 49.9% | 51.4% | 49.7% | 1560 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 62.5% | 50.9% | 51.4% | 50.2% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Wind Allies | 2 | 4.9% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.0% | 50.9% | 49.8% | 1340 | — |
| 10 | Water Neos | 2 | 4.9% | 7 | 64.3% | 49.2% | 50.8% | 49.5% | 1457 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 7.3% | 10 | 60.0% | 51.7% | 49.0% | 50.4% | 1293 | — |
| 12 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.6% | 48.9% | 50.1% | 1274 | — |
| 13 | Water Genbu | 1 | 2.4% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.4% | 48.6% | 49.9% | 1235 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 4.9% | 7 | 42.9% | 50.0% | 48.5% | 50.1% | 1314 | — |
| 15 | Water Wind Vanitas | 1 | 2.4% | 2 | 25.0% | 49.1% | 45.0% | 49.4% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 16 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 4.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.2% | 45.0% | 49.7% | 1398 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 37.5% | 50.2% | 44.3% | 49.8% | 1192 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 25.0% | 48.7% | 44.3% | 49.4% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 25.0% | 48.9% | 44.0% | 49.4% | 1211 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 2.4% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.7% | 44.0% | 49.4% | 1352 | — |
| 21 | Water Umbra Guardian | 3 | 7.3% | 7 | 28.6% | 49.1% | 43.6% | 49.5% | 1218 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Fire Suzaku | 2 | 4.9% | 4 | 12.5% | 49.2% | 42.1% | 49.6% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Water Allies | 1 | 2.4% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.3% | 40.0% | 49.6% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 2.4% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.4% | 40.0% | 49.5% | 1388 | ↑ top |