← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 64.1% | 60.0% | 56.6% | 1305 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suited | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.8% | 53.3% | 50.4% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 58.6% | 53.3% | 54.0% | 1221 | — |
| 4 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 66.7% | 61.6% | 53.3% | 55.4% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 34.2% | 46.7% | 42.6% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 52.9% | 46.7% | 51.3% | 976 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.6% | 46.7% | 48.4% | 1148 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 0.0% | 31.2% | 40.0% | 41.2% | 1179 | — |