EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 幻想遊戲世界店冠賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 4 | 17.4% | 20 | 67.5% | 65.4% | 59.4% | 59.1% | 1362 | — |
| 2 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.3% | 6 | 66.7% | 59.1% | 54.4% | 53.5% | 1389 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Tera Cleric | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 56.0% | 53.3% | 55.0% | 1188 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Genbu | 2 | 8.7% | 12 | 62.5% | 62.2% | 52.9% | 53.7% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Luxem Zander | 1 | 4.3% | 6 | 58.3% | 44.9% | 52.5% | 46.9% | 1441 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Umbra Guardian | 2 | 8.7% | 8 | 50.0% | 52.7% | 52.0% | 53.6% | 1253 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Allies | 1 | 4.3% | 6 | 58.3% | 45.4% | 51.1% | 47.0% | 1502 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Tera Mage | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 44.2% | 48.0% | 47.8% | 1331 | — |
| 9 | Fire Suited | 1 | 4.3% | 5 | 40.0% | 48.2% | 46.7% | 48.9% | 1226 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 2 | 8.7% | 9 | 55.6% | 52.0% | 46.7% | 46.6% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 16.7% | 34.5% | 43.3% | 42.8% | 1409 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Shadowstrike | 4 | 17.4% | 18 | 33.3% | 38.0% | 42.5% | 43.0% | 1301 | — |
| 13 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 8.7% | 7 | 14.3% | 28.2% | 41.0% | 40.3% | 1247 | ↓ low |