← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Distorted Reflections Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 5.9% | 8 | 87.5% | 62.7% | 62.3% | 55.9% | 1630 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 83.3% | 63.0% | 57.7% | 55.4% | 1362 | — |
| 3 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 70.0% | 58.7% | 55.0% | 55.5% | 1348 | — |
| 4 | Fire Rile | 5 | 29.4% | 23 | 60.9% | 52.7% | 54.0% | 51.2% | 1413 | — |
| 5 | Fire Suited | 2 | 11.8% | 13 | 57.7% | 56.0% | 52.9% | 53.4% | 1401 | — |
| 6 | Wind Ciel | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 55.2% | 48.6% | 52.7% | 1331 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 11.8% | 9 | 55.6% | 49.5% | 48.2% | 48.5% | 1376 | — |
| 8 | Horse and Taxes | 2 | 11.8% | 11 | 50.0% | 50.6% | 47.8% | 48.9% | 1399 | — |
| 9 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 40.0% | 34.5% | 46.7% | 43.6% | 1496 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 25.0% | 49.9% | 44.6% | 49.8% | 1352 | — |
| 11 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 33.3% | 35.1% | 43.5% | 41.9% | 1642 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Fractal | 1 | 5.9% | 7 | 28.6% | 46.8% | 40.6% | 46.0% | 1159 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 5.9% | 6 | 0.0% | 38.6% | 37.0% | 44.8% | 1184 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 5.9% | 4 | 0.0% | 31.6% | 35.8% | 40.2% | 1234 | ↓ low |