← Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
Fire AggroTier 1
at Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.9%
avg ELO -7.0 per match
expected value
52.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1311
· median 1311
· range 1311–1311
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1164
Q3 1296
1420
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 28.7% | -20.4 |
| Fire Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
