← Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
Water Astra RangerTier 2
at Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.8%
avg ELO -7.6 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1054
· median 1054
· range 1054–1054
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1164
Q3 1296
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.8 |
| Wind Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
