← Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-3-2
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9%
avg ELO -3.1 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1264
· median 1264
· range 1257–1271
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1164
Q3 1296
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.1% | -10.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.3% | +7.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
