← Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Distorted Reflections UK Regionals!
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.3%
avg ELO +2.3 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1115
· median 1115
· range 1023–1206
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1023
Q1 1164
Q3 1296
1420
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.0% | -9.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
