← Gaming Giant Distorted Reflections Store Championships

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gaming Giant Distorted Reflections Store Championships. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Aggro 3 18.8% 10 80.0% 61.7% 56.7% 53.0% 1405 ↑ top
2 Wind Seiryuu 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 50.7% 52.0% 51.7% 1418 ↑ top
3 Fire Aetherwing 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 45.2% 51.4% 49.0% 1394 ↑ top
4 Fire Suzaku 1 6.2% 4 75.0% 58.5% 50.0% 48.0% 1511 ↑ top
5 Wind Allies 1 6.2% 4 75.0% 62.8% 50.0% 50.9% 1293
6 Water Fractal 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 40.5% 50.0% 46.2% 1388 ↑ top
7 Water Umbra Guardian 2 12.5% 6 50.0% 56.5% 50.0% 53.6% 1251 ↓ low
8 Water Tera Kongming 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 48.6% 48.6% 48.6% 1349
9 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 6.2% 4 25.0% 44.5% 45.0% 47.8% 1245 ↓ low
10 Fire Slimes 1 6.2% 4 25.0% 37.6% 45.0% 45.0% 1279
11 Wind Arcane 1 6.2% 4 50.0% 52.0% 44.0% 46.4% 1192 ↓ low
12 Water Crux Mage 1 6.2% 4 0.0% 28.8% 40.0% 41.8% 1006 ↓ low
13 Wind Astra Cleric 1 6.2% 4 25.0% 52.4% 40.0% 49.2% 1105 ↓ low