← MSG Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire OblationTier 1
at MSG Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
72.7%
avg ELO +12.1 per match
expected value
57.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
60.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1342
· median 1342
· range 1342–1342
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1181
Q3 1403
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.0% | +8.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 65.2% | +14.6 |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Oblation decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
