← Whimsy DTR Store Championships
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Whimsy DTR Store Championships
decks
2
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-3-1
overall winrate
56.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1436
· median 1436
· range 1427–1445
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1267
Q3 1467
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.5% | -21.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 62.8% | +9.5 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
