← Whimsy DTR Store Championships
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Whimsy DTR Store Championships
decks
3
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
6-11-1
overall winrate
36.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.2%
avg ELO -2.7 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1314
· median 1346
· range 1234–1362
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1267
Q3 1467
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.0% | -3.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -1.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +2.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 37.2% | -9.5 |
| Fire Suited | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Water Fractal | 2.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.3% | +14.7 |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
