Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at 東門艾客米DTR Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 11.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.8% | +4.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.1% | -2.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -20.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.6% | +10.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Water Genbu | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +4.3 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undying Dreams | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ensoul | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Votive Runeblade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |