Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at 東門艾客米DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-3-4
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.1%
avg ELO +2.5 per match
expected value
55.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1483
· median 1483
· range 1427–1539
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1125
Q1 1219
Q3 1392
1539
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +14.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 11.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.7% | +2.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -5.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.7% | +5.5 |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.1% | -5.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -5.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +1.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +11.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.6 |
