Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at 東門艾客米DTR Store Championship
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-4-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.8%
avg ELO +3.3 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1354
· median 1354
· range 1348–1359
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1125
Q1 1219
Q3 1392
1539
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.9% | +2.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 11.5% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 46.3% | -2.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.9% | +10.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
