← Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
Water Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Reaper Game Store - Store Championship
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1339
· median 1339
· range 1339–1339
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1203
Q1 1303
Q3 1404
1578
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 23.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Water Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
