Reaper Game Store - Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	23.1%	5-5-0	50.0%	49.7%	50.9%	50.7%	1440	↑ top
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-3-0	25.0%	45.4%	43.3%	47.7%	1203	↓ low
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	7.7%	6-0-0	100.0%	74.0%	65.7%	63.2%	1527	↑ top
4		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	54.9%	50.0%	52.0%	1220	↓ low
5		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	53.1%	50.0%	51.2%	1278	↓ low
6		Slimes	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-3-0	25.0%	36.9%	45.0%	44.8%	1349	—
7		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	7.7%	1-3-0	25.0%	36.9%	43.3%	42.6%	1327	—
8		Water Fractal	Tier 2	1	7.7%	0-2-0	0.0%	40.4%	40.0%	44.3%	1338	—
9		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	7.7%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.7%	50.0%	50.7%	1339	—
10		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	7.7%	3-2-0	60.0%	50.4%	46.7%	45.9%	1404	↑ top
11		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	7.7%	3-2-0	60.0%	48.4%	54.3%	51.0%	1303	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 23.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 7.7%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 7.7%
• Slimes 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 7.7%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 7.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 7.7%